Thursday 05/21/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Thursday 05/21/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Craig Trapp

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 21
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees -1½-140

Records

Baltimore Orioles 16-24, 5-13 away (Eaton 2-4, 7.93 ERA)

New York Yankees 23-17, 12-7 home (Chamberlain 2-1, 3.76
ERA)

Betting Trends


-Orioles are 7-20 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.


-Orioles are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.


-Yankees are 5-1 in Chamberlains last 6 home starts.


-Yankees are 43-18 in their last 61 during game 3 of a series.



The New York Yankees have been on fire winning 9 in a row and since AROD came back they have outscored opponents 52-25. The new Yankee stadium plays well for NY as they lead the majors in homers and every player can hit it out at any time. After struggling early in the season the starting pitchers in the last 9 wins have been great with a sub 3.00 ERA. Chamberlin will have extra motivation on the mound today as HUFF mocked his fist pump after hitting HR in Baltimore a few weeks ago. Chamberlin will be lights out tonight and shut down BALT who has been struggling to score. NY is 5-3 this year verse BALT and in each of the wins the won by 2 or more runs so don't fear giving up the run and half. EASY WINNER!! SCORE NYY 7 - BALT 3
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Jimmy The Moose

The A's have played over the total in 8 of their last 10 games overall. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road dog. Braden's ERA over his last 3 starts is 6.35. Tampa has played the over in 7 of their last 9 overall. The over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games as a favorite. The over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 home games. Both offense's are clicking right now and they will continue to do so this afternoon. Play the over.
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Thanks and here is John Morrison
5/21 Texas [C] (game starts early at 1:05PM E.T.-don't be late!)
Detroit
Note: Our We've won 90% on the [A] bets. 95% by the level, but the
[C] wager, as it has always been, is the most rock-solid bet of them all!
We've only lost a [C] bet one time in the last 5 years of baseball

Matt Rivers

Craig Davis

Thursday's Lineup


30 Dime ---- RANGERS (With Millwood and Jackson as listed pitchers)



10 Dime ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum as listed pitcher)



5 Dime ---- ROYALS -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Greinke as listed pitcher)



I will be back by Noon with my analysis.

Matt Rivers

100,000* ABSOLUTE NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:



1. 100,000♦ Nuggets

2. 50,000♦ Phillies





1. Denver clearly was the better team in game one and will once again be the better team today after getting nipped at the wire thanks to a great finishing performance from Kobe Bryant. The Nuggets are the better overall team, I don't care if they are not the top seed like LA or if they are the underdog in the series. George Karl's squad is too talented and too deep with Carmelo, Billups, Nene, Smith, Martin and others.



Sure Kobe is a superstar and can single-handedly win a game as we just saw but I am not at all impressed with the rest of Phil Jackson's squad, I'm just not. Who knows if Lamar Odom or Derek Fisher will show up? Pau Gasol is very good but I do not fully trust him either. Let's not forget how this is basically the same team that crapped in their pants last year in the Finals against the grinding and defensive minded Celtics as LA was overall somewhat mentally weak against Boston. I'm not sure a lot has changed since then and these Nuggets are no-joke.



Denver is going to come out with a vengeance in this game two. They know they should be the team with the 1-0 series lead and are not going to get swept in Staples in these first two games. The Nuggets are going to come out and dominate as they have done for the past few months. The Lakers are too wishy washy right now and really do not have that feeling where they will step on the neck of an opponent.



If the Lakers win this game, which I guess with Kobe and being at home they could, it will not be going away and therefore the handful of points will be enough as the Nuggs continue their unreal run against that number. But to be honest with you I rerally do see Denver walking off the court in a quality outright!







2. I cannot say that I fully trust Joe Blanton at all but Micah Owings is on the exact same level as Blanton and to get the much much much better offense of the Phillies at this cheap price against the decent but far from good Reds makes me all about the visitors.



Throw out the starters as both Owings and Blanton could be alright or could get blasted so that is a wash. But the defending World Champs boast too much pop with Rollins, Utley, Ibanez and Howard to not expect them to get to Owings and take care of business today.



Sure the Reds have been fairly successful thus far in the early going, relatively speaking, but they are by far inferior today in pretty much every category and with the exception of Jay Bruce and Brandon Phillips really do not have any pop at all.



The Great American Ballpark is a total hitters' park and to be able to back the hard hitting Fightin' Phils at this price today is a steal that cannot be passed up, period!



PURCHASED RIVERS AND DAVIS FOR SITE
BOUGHT AND PAID BY ME!!
GOOD LUCK.
 

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Is the John Morrison pick on Detroit or Texas?

It is worded kind of funny...

Thanks for the clarification and sorry for the clutter!
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Al DeMarco has a release:

Western Conference Finals

Oddsmakers Error of the Year

Lakers - Nuggets

5 Dime Release
 

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5/21 Texas [C] (game starts early at 1:05PM E.T.-don't be late!)
Detroit
Note: Our We've won 90% on the [A] bets. 95% by the level, but the
[C] wager, as it has always been, is the most rock-solid bet of them all!
We've only lost a [C] bet one time in the last 5 years of baseball

His play is Tx +1.5/-200

Can anyone confirm he has really only lost one [C] level bet in the last 5 years of baseball? Laying -200 is ridiculous and I would play TX straight up, but I am curious if this guy is for real.
 

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Anyone heard of John Morrison before? How good is this guy?

It's a chasing system. He's not a handicapper, just a creator of a system. His NBA system isn't too shabby but his MLB system is bad. It produced over 5 loses last year so he added an RPI filter and claims he had 0 loses. Personally, I don't think Texas is a bad pick tonight but I would never buy them on the RL and lay that kind of juice. GL
 

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Demarco has a play today, on a great run if someone wants to grab it, I posted Valentino already
 

degenerate
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Anyone heard of John Morrison before? How good is this guy?


there are several issues here.

first issue is that this play is solely based on the fact that TEX has lost 10-12 straight games at DET. it takes nothing into consideration that jackson is pitching very well and that millwood is all right but giving up a lot of hits.

it also requires you to take the RL. when TEX loses, they lose by 2 or more 69% of the time. when DET wins, they win by 2 or more 86% of the time. that's a combines 29-9 (78%) likelihood that the RL doesn't help. so, here, you are laying 200 to win 100 when it probably doesn't matter. TEX either wins or loses by 2 or more.

i like DET here - a lot. That said, TEX could come out and crush jackson while throws darts. i just don't like wagering that one or both of those things will happen just b/c they're "due".

GL
 

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